--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/cheurlin/OneDrive - Bowdoin College/Asian Communism's Collapse/Soviet Aid and Regime Durability/Heurli
> n - Authoritarian Aid and Regime Durability.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:  22 Jul 2020, 12:51:15

. do "/Users/cheurlin/OneDrive - Bowdoin College/Asian Communism's Collapse/Soviet Aid and Regime Durability/Authoritarian
>  Aid and Regime Durability Do File.do"

. *Use .dta file: "Heurlin - Authoritarian Aid and Regime Durability.dta
. *Table 2 
. *Model 1 
. 
. 
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag, cluster(R
> egimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -414.23965
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -390.51655
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -389.11686
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -389.11331
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -389.11331

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,164
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2257
                                                Wald chi2(8)     =       56.37
Log pseudolikelihood =   -389.11331             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0354302   .0171826     2.06   0.039      .001753    .0691074
             1.Party |  -1.172327   .2875486    -4.08   0.000    -1.735912   -.6087424
          1.Military |   .6902887   .2531342     2.73   0.006     .1941549    1.186423
          1.Monarchy |  -.9615545    .390425    -2.46   0.014    -1.726773   -.1963355
             GDPpcLn |  -.1982323   .1791522    -1.11   0.269    -.5493642    .1528996
               PopLn |  -.1251295   .0824968    -1.52   0.129    -.2868203    .0365613
        OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0331444   .0507492    -0.65   0.514     -.132611    .0663222
     SovMilGDPLn1lag |  -.0142271       .016    -0.89   0.374    -.0455866    .0171324
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 2
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag, cluster(Reg
> imeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -388.05967
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -367.20688
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -366.44546
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -366.44477
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -366.44477

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          147             Number of obs    =       2,096
No. of failures      =           95
Time at risk         =         2096
                                                Wald chi2(8)     =       49.00
Log pseudolikelihood =   -366.44477             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                    (Std. Err. adjusted for 146 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    |               Robust
                 _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0368828   .0175081     2.11   0.035     .0025676     .071198
            1.Party |  -1.086165   .2881716    -3.77   0.000    -1.650971    -.521359
         1.Military |   .5760218   .2602138     2.21   0.027     .0660122    1.086031
         1.Monarchy |  -.6998597   .4293104    -1.63   0.103    -1.541293    .1415731
            GDPpcLn |  -.3261993   .1743023    -1.87   0.061    -.6678255    .0154268
              PopLn |  -.0999669   .0823944    -1.21   0.225    -.2614569    .0615232
       OilGasPop1Ln |   .0029575   .0501617     0.06   0.953    -.0953576    .1012726
     SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.1069615   .0690019    -1.55   0.121    -.2422028    .0282798
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 3
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2##i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.So
> vMilGDPLn1lag i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -414.23965
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -383.87108
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -376.0542
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.69819
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.67489
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.67466
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.67466
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.67466

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,164
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2257
                                                Wald chi2(13)    =      112.15
Log pseudolikelihood =   -375.67466             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |               Robust
                              _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0491362   .0171095     2.87   0.004     .0156022    .0826703
                     1.Communist |  -3.861137   .9733845    -3.97   0.000    -5.768936   -1.953339
                                 |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                              1  |  -.1608613   .0507933    -3.17   0.002    -.2604143   -.0613084
                                 |
              1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.8970323   .3042067    -2.95   0.003    -1.493267   -.3007982
                      1.Military |   .7161098   .2470468     2.90   0.004     .2319071    1.200313
                      1.Monarchy |  -1.082943   .4399358    -2.46   0.014    -1.945201   -.2206842
                         GDPpcLn |  -.1392103   .1765243    -0.79   0.430    -.4851915    .2067709
                           PopLn |  -.1646715   .0906808    -1.82   0.069    -.3424026    .0130596
                    OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0719905   .0509118    -1.41   0.157    -.1717759    .0277948
                 SovMilGDPLn1lag |   -.001512   .0153131    -0.10   0.921    -.0315252    .0285011
                1.PartyCommissar |  -.6265929   .5372852    -1.17   0.244    -1.679652    .4264667
            1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.176578   1.149801    -1.89   0.058    -4.430147    .0769911
                      1.CivilWar |   1.020332   .2301797     4.43   0.000     .5691884    1.471476
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 4 
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2##i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.Sov
> MilPCLn1lag i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -388.05967
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -361.18406
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -355.24595
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.88397
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.85544
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.85503
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.85503
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.85503

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          147             Number of obs    =       2,096
No. of failures      =           95
Time at risk         =         2096
                                                Wald chi2(13)    =      105.99
Log pseudolikelihood =   -354.85503             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 146 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |               Robust
                             _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0485245   .0173848     2.79   0.005     .0144509    .0825981
                    1.Communist |  -3.570245   1.052262    -3.39   0.001    -5.632642   -1.507849
                                |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                             1  |  -.1514612   .0535652    -2.83   0.005    -.2564471   -.0464753
                                |
             1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.8317846   .3065683    -2.71   0.007    -1.432647   -.2309218
                     1.Military |   .6126187   .2549487     2.40   0.016     .1129285    1.112309
                     1.Monarchy |  -.8393797   .4770689    -1.76   0.079    -1.774418    .0956582
                        GDPpcLn |  -.2963881   .1718074    -1.73   0.085    -.6331245    .0403483
                          PopLn |   -.145348   .0899392    -1.62   0.106    -.3216255    .0309295
                   OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0379852    .052059    -0.73   0.466    -.1400189    .0640485
                 SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.0402647    .064975    -0.62   0.535    -.1676133    .0870839
               1.PartyCommissar |  -.6941398   .5415061    -1.28   0.200    -1.755472    .3671927
           1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.065223   1.164639    -1.77   0.076    -4.347874    .2174271
                     1.CivilWar |   1.012805   .2246975     4.51   0.000     .5724059    1.453204
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 5 
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. 
. streg PopLn c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2##i.Communist PartyNoCommunist Military Monarchy GDPpcLn OilGasPop1Ln SovMilGDPLn1lag 
> i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, dist(weibull) vce(robust) 

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Fitting constant-only model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.63586
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.12123
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.12118
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.12118

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.12118  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -201.48847  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -155.93987  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -154.28807  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -154.24855  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -154.24835  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -154.24835  

Weibull PH regression

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,164
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2257
                                                Wald chi2(13)    =      151.59
Log pseudolikelihood =   -154.24835             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 151 clusters in CaseName)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |               Robust
                              _t | Haz. Ratio   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           PopLn |   .8321204   .0775901    -1.97   0.049     .6931334    .9989769
            SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   1.059428   .0179525     3.41   0.001     1.024819    1.095205
                     1.Communist |   .0166671   .0155895    -4.38   0.000      .002665    .1042383
                                 |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                              1  |    .830915   .0402813    -3.82   0.000     .7555999    .9137372
                                 |
                PartyNoCommunist |   .3833086    .116454    -3.16   0.002      .211321    .6952714
                        Military |   2.110455   .5634414     2.80   0.005     1.250621    3.561449
                        Monarchy |   .3639984   .1298772    -2.83   0.005     .1808776    .7325109
                         GDPpcLn |   .8717174   .1626674    -0.74   0.462     .6046954    1.256651
                    OilGasPop1Ln |   .9055149    .045991    -1.95   0.051     .8197155    1.000295
                 SovMilGDPLn1lag |   .9995911   .0144762    -0.03   0.977     .9716171     1.02837
                1.PartyCommissar |   .5060889   .3043944    -1.13   0.258     .1556896    1.645107
            1.InterventionSoviet |   .0912688   .1054297    -2.07   0.038     .0094853    .8781995
                      1.CivilWar |   3.071725   .7193167     4.79   0.000     1.941125    4.860838
                           _cons |   1.188208   1.758066     0.12   0.907     .0653821    21.59363
---------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           /ln_p |   .2571297   .0673967     3.82   0.000     .1250346    .3892248
---------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                               p |   1.293213   .0871583                      1.133188    1.475836
                             1/p |   .7732679   .0521157                      .6775819    .8824663
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: Estimates are transformed only in the first equation.
Note: _cons estimates baseline hazard.

. 
. 
. *Model 6
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. 
. streg PopLn c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2##i.Communist PartyNoCommunist Military Monarchy GDPpcLn OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag 
> i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, dist(weibull) vce(robust)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Fitting constant-only model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -183.01671
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -182.25671
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -182.25669
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -182.25669

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -182.25669  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -171.73236  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.08271  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -140.74931  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -140.72223  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -140.72212  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -140.72212  

Weibull PH regression

No. of subjects      =          147             Number of obs    =       2,096
No. of failures      =           95
Time at risk         =         2096
                                                Wald chi2(13)    =      141.56
Log pseudolikelihood =   -140.72212             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 147 clusters in CaseName)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |               Robust
                             _t | Haz. Ratio   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                          PopLn |   .8465384   .0795464    -1.77   0.076      .704145    1.017727
            SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |    1.05784    .018492     3.22   0.001     1.022211    1.094712
                    1.Communist |   .0203997   .0198682    -4.00   0.000     .0030241    .1376097
                                |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                             1  |   .8382755   .0432164    -3.42   0.001     .7577116    .9274053
                                |
               PartyNoCommunist |   .4066432   .1250636    -2.93   0.003     .2225489    .7430216
                       Military |   1.918375   .5314731     2.35   0.019     1.114586    3.301819
                       Monarchy |   .4092706   .1559177    -2.35   0.019     .1939692    .8635516
                        GDPpcLn |   .7337826    .133111    -1.71   0.088     .5142285    1.047077
                   OilGasPop1Ln |   .9304401   .0494509    -1.36   0.175     .8383954     1.03259
                 SovMilPCLn1lag |   .9827948   .0633755    -0.27   0.788     .8661101    1.115199
               1.PartyCommissar |   .4751381   .2865302    -1.23   0.217     .1457156    1.549293
           1.InterventionSoviet |   .0994027   .1172296    -1.96   0.050     .0098524    1.002893
                     1.CivilWar |    3.05403   .6920069     4.93   0.000      1.95885    4.761518
                          _cons |   2.458728   4.162008     0.53   0.595     .0890924    67.85477
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                          /ln_p |   .2660253   .0745909     3.57   0.000     .1198298    .4122208
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                              p |   1.304768   .0973238                      1.127305    1.510168
                            1/p |   .7664197   .0571679                      .6621781    .8870714
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: Estimates are transformed only in the first equation.
Note: _cons estimates baseline hazard.

. 
. 
. 
. *Figure 1: 
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. sts graph if Communist==0, by(SovietAidGDPLowHigh)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

. 
. *Table 3 
. *Model 1 
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(MilCoup==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  MilCoup == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
         47  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c. SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag i.PartyCo
> mmissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar if Communist==0, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  MilCoup == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -183.94466
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -171.41472
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -170.77311
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -170.76581
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -170.7658
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -170.7658

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          143             Number of obs    =       1,951
No. of failures      =           44
Time at risk         =         2039
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =       38.86
Log pseudolikelihood =    -170.7658             Prob > chi2      =      0.0001

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 141 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0736181    .023699     3.11   0.002     .0271689    .1200673
             1.Party |  -.2144775    .385445    -0.56   0.578    -.9699358    .5409808
          1.Military |  -.1132556   .5305157    -0.21   0.831    -1.153047     .926536
          1.Monarchy |  -.1161207   .6209145    -0.19   0.852    -1.333091    1.100849
             GDPpcLn |  -.4785398    .303596    -1.58   0.115    -1.073577    .1164975
               PopLn |  -.2611539   .1645121    -1.59   0.112    -.5835918     .061284
        OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0694111   .0834051    -0.83   0.405    -.2328821    .0940599
     SovMilGDPLn1lag |   .0204208   .0231987     0.88   0.379    -.0250477    .0658893
    1.PartyCommissar |  -1.614947   .7859673    -2.05   0.040    -3.155415   -.0744796
1.InterventionSoviet |  -1.614222   1.021223    -1.58   0.114    -3.615782    .3873389
          1.CivilWar |   .7530461   .3976086     1.89   0.058    -.0262524    1.532345
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. *model 2 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag i.PartyCommi
> ssar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar if Communist==0, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  MilCoup == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -167.40423
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -156.53476
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -155.95951
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -155.95332
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -155.95331
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -155.95331

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          139             Number of obs    =       1,886
No. of failures      =           41
Time at risk         =         1886
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =       30.48
Log pseudolikelihood =   -155.95331             Prob > chi2      =      0.0013

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 138 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
 SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0742992   .0249343     2.98   0.003     .0254289    .1231694
             1.Party |  -.1292748   .4001011    -0.32   0.747    -.9134586    .6549089
          1.Military |  -.5135302   .6056009    -0.85   0.396    -1.700486    .6734257
          1.Monarchy |   .1583268   .6578393     0.24   0.810    -1.131014    1.447668
             GDPpcLn |  -.7442721   .2943747    -2.53   0.011    -1.321236   -.1673084
               PopLn |  -.2128376    .165541    -1.29   0.199    -.5372921    .1116168
        OilGasPop1Ln |   .0021671   .0855344     0.03   0.980    -.1654773    .1698115
      SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.0082909   .0903177    -0.09   0.927    -.1853104    .1687286
    1.PartyCommissar |  -1.646207   .8527747    -1.93   0.054    -3.317614    .0252009
1.InterventionSoviet |  -1.468196   1.045745    -1.40   0.160    -3.517818    .5814264
          1.CivilWar |   .7161343   .3822722     1.87   0.061    -.0331055    1.465374
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Appendix 
. *Table 1.1.1
. summarize Duration Fail SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 SovMilPCLn1lag SovMilGDPLn1lag Military Monarchy Party 
> Communist PartyNoCommunist GDPpcLn OilGasPop1Ln PopLn PartyCommissar CivilWar InterventionSoviet

    Variable |        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------
    Duration |      2,289    19.56444    31.85443          1        252
        Fail |      2,289    .0458716    .2092522          0          1
SovietA~cLn2 |      2,242    -18.1801    7.244242      -27.8       -.96
SovietA~PLn2 |      2,242   -18.55273    7.297956     -28.63      -1.21
SovMilPCLn~g |      2,183   -12.65566    2.218774     -13.82      -4.29
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------
SovMilGDPL~g |      2,243   -18.54733    7.979361     -28.54      -1.45
    Military |      2,289    .1280035    .3341667          0          1
    Monarchy |      2,289    .1494102    .3565703          0          1
       Party |      2,289    .4927916    .5000573          0          1
   Communist |      2,289    .0987331    .2983685          0          1
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------
PartyNoCom~t |      2,289    .3940585    .4887543          0          1
     GDPpcLn |      2,245     7.28069     .849873    5.78996   10.33948
OilGasPop1Ln |      2,212    1.945298     2.91869          0      11.01
       PopLn |      2,245    9.006244    1.423944   5.817111    13.9797
PartyCommi~r |      2,289    .1406728    .3477597          0          1
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------
    CivilWar |      2,289    .0668414    .2498017          0          1
Interventi~t |      2,289    .0712101    .2572317          0          1

. 
. *Table 1.1.2
. correlate Duration Fail SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 SovMilPCLn1lag SovMilGDPLn1lag Military Monarchy Party 
> Communist PartyNoCommunist GDPpcLn OilGasPop1Ln PopLn PartyCommissar CivilWar InterventionSoviet
(obs=2,096)

             | Duration     Fail Sov~cLn2 Sov~PLn2 S~PCLn~g S~GDPL~g Military Monarchy    Party Commun~t PartyN~t  GDPpcLn
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Duration |   1.0000
        Fail |  -0.0424   1.0000
SovietA~cLn2 |  -0.0206   0.0062   1.0000
SovietA~PLn2 |  -0.0493   0.0156   0.9933   1.0000
SovMilPCLn~g |  -0.0420  -0.0380   0.6305   0.6164   1.0000
SovMilGDPL~g |  -0.0696  -0.0198   0.6355   0.6394   0.9296   1.0000
    Military |  -0.1445   0.1172  -0.0772  -0.0648  -0.1450  -0.1425   1.0000
    Monarchy |   0.4024  -0.0299  -0.0883  -0.1247  -0.1258  -0.1335  -0.1552   1.0000
       Party |  -0.0246  -0.1109   0.1871   0.1786   0.1973   0.1882  -0.3779  -0.4052   1.0000
   Communist |   0.0716  -0.0574   0.3483   0.3539   0.3819   0.3885  -0.1269  -0.1361   0.3359   1.0000
PartyNoCom~t |  -0.0691  -0.0781  -0.0226  -0.0347  -0.0328  -0.0460  -0.3083  -0.3306   0.8159  -0.2705   1.0000
     GDPpcLn |   0.2493  -0.0824  -0.0118  -0.1275   0.0777  -0.0781  -0.1028   0.3194   0.0622  -0.0726   0.1081   1.0000
OilGasPop1Ln |   0.2778  -0.0548   0.1034   0.0229   0.1824   0.0600  -0.0956   0.3418  -0.0643  -0.1427   0.0219   0.6870
       PopLn |  -0.0640   0.0136   0.0562   0.0721   0.0560  -0.0087   0.2153  -0.1537   0.0133   0.2048  -0.1121  -0.1421
PartyCommi~r |   0.0234  -0.0605   0.2508   0.2610   0.2877   0.3051  -0.1521  -0.1631   0.3971   0.6178   0.0266  -0.1061
    CivilWar |  -0.0595   0.1102   0.0811   0.0918   0.1285   0.1185   0.0863  -0.0742  -0.0525  -0.0750  -0.0076  -0.0990
Interventi~t |   0.0244  -0.0518   0.4580   0.4604   0.4920   0.4621  -0.0338  -0.1137   0.1993   0.5031  -0.1051  -0.0529

             | OilGas~n    PopLn PartyC~r CivilWar Interv~t
-------------+---------------------------------------------
OilGasPop1Ln |   1.0000
       PopLn |  -0.0092   1.0000
PartyCommi~r |  -0.0894   0.1988   1.0000
    CivilWar |   0.0197   0.1436   0.0070   1.0000
Interventi~t |  -0.1025   0.0013   0.2311   0.0914   1.0000


. 
. *Table 1.3.1
. *Model 1 
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2, cluster(RegimeID) nohr strata(CowCode)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =   -68.7066
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -68.329031
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -68.328803
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -68.328803

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          154             Number of obs    =       2,242
No. of failures      =          102
Time at risk         =         2798
                                                Wald chi2(1)     =        1.48
Log pseudolikelihood =   -68.328803             Prob > chi2      =      0.2235

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 152 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |    .023989   .0197072     1.22   0.224    -.0146363    .0626143
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. 
. *Model 2 
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2, cluster(RegimeID) nohr strata(CowCode)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =   -68.7066
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -68.323227
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -68.322971
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -68.322971

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          154             Number of obs    =       2,242
No. of failures      =          102
Time at risk         =         2798
                                                Wald chi2(1)     =        1.50
Log pseudolikelihood =   -68.322971             Prob > chi2      =      0.2199

                                    (Std. Err. adjusted for 152 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    |               Robust
                 _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0238408   .0194341     1.23   0.220    -.0142492    .0619309
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. *Model 3 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag i.PartyCom
> missar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr strata(CowCode)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -59.930125
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -51.126802
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.472422
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -50.36661
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.334054
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.322412
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood =  -50.31817
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.316615
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.316043
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315833
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315756
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315728
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315717
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315713
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315712
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.315711

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,164
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2257
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =     3527.39
Log pseudolikelihood =   -50.315711             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0196932   .0358931     0.55   0.583    -.0506559    .0900424
             1.Party |  -.0915809   .4302568    -0.21   0.831    -.9348686    .7517069
          1.Military |   1.015727    .416434     2.44   0.015     .1995312    1.831923
          1.Monarchy |  -.1768239   1.346484    -0.13   0.896    -2.815884    2.462236
             GDPpcLn |   .9620694   1.083263     0.89   0.374    -1.161086    3.085225
               PopLn |  -1.784738   .7524155    -2.37   0.018    -3.259445   -.3100305
        OilGasPop1Ln |  -.1725885   .3239667    -0.53   0.594    -.8075516    .4623746
     SovMilGDPLn1lag |  -.0315342   .0286995    -1.10   0.272    -.0877842    .0247157
    1.PartyCommissar |   1.437879   1.111957     1.29   0.196    -.7415154    3.617274
1.InterventionSoviet |  -37.72698   4.529575    -8.33   0.000    -46.60479   -28.84918
          1.CivilWar |   1.731697   .7120815     2.43   0.015     .3360426    3.127351
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. *Model 4 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag i.PartyCommi
> ssar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr strata(CowCode)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -53.585311
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -45.569981
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -45.008281
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.938034
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.917699
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.910369
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.907691
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906708
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906347
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906214
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906165
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906147
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood =  -44.90614
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906138
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.906137

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          147             Number of obs    =       2,096
No. of failures      =           95
Time at risk         =         2096
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =     2244.74
Log pseudolikelihood =   -44.906137             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 146 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
 SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0094013   .0381752     0.25   0.805    -.0654206    .0842233
             1.Party |   .0660245   .4314265     0.15   0.878    -.7795558    .9116049
          1.Military |   .8897993   .4220595     2.11   0.035      .062578    1.717021
          1.Monarchy |   .7851126   1.038067     0.76   0.449    -1.249461    2.819686
             GDPpcLn |   .8078346   1.057965     0.76   0.445    -1.265739    2.881408
               PopLn |  -1.573894    .788723    -2.00   0.046    -3.119763   -.0280251
        OilGasPop1Ln |   -.370473   .3236597    -1.14   0.252    -1.004834    .2638883
      SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.2234743   .1503211    -1.49   0.137    -.5180983    .0711497
    1.PartyCommissar |   1.081992   1.019421     1.06   0.289    -.9160366    3.080021
1.InterventionSoviet |  -37.12085   1.258705   -29.49   0.000    -39.58787   -34.65384
          1.CivilWar |   1.554051   .6180382     2.51   0.012     .3427183    2.765383
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. *Model 5 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag i.PartyCom
> missar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(CowCode) nohr 

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -414.23965
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -384.20538
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.59694
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.34944
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.33939
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.33935
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.33935

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,164
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2257
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =      125.01
Log pseudolikelihood =   -377.33935             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                       (Std. Err. adjusted for 74 clusters in CowCode)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0442325   .0166719     2.65   0.008     .0115562    .0769089
             1.Party |  -.8891355   .2951782    -3.01   0.003    -1.467674    -.310597
          1.Military |   .7056306   .2431601     2.90   0.004     .2290456    1.182216
          1.Monarchy |  -1.094821   .4468377    -2.45   0.014    -1.970606   -.2190349
             GDPpcLn |  -.1633922   .1827871    -0.89   0.371    -.5216483     .194864
               PopLn |  -.1523121   .0963561    -1.58   0.114    -.3411666    .0365424
        OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0597518   .0493738    -1.21   0.226    -.1565228    .0370191
     SovMilGDPLn1lag |  -.0037095     .01438    -0.26   0.796    -.0318938    .0244749
    1.PartyCommissar |  -.7415767   .5340945    -1.39   0.165    -1.788383    .3052292
1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.405221   1.005184    -2.39   0.017    -4.375346   -.4350957
          1.CivilWar |   1.042386   .2042966     5.10   0.000     .6419715    1.442799
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 6
.  stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag i.PartyComm
> issar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(CowCode) nohr 

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -388.05967
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =  -361.4167
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.50777
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.28388
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.27438
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.27434
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.27434

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          147             Number of obs    =       2,096
No. of failures      =           95
Time at risk         =         2096
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =      125.36
Log pseudolikelihood =   -356.27434             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                       (Std. Err. adjusted for 74 clusters in CowCode)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
 SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0434495   .0168466     2.58   0.010     .0104308    .0764682
             1.Party |  -.8118824   .2960533    -2.74   0.006    -1.392136   -.2316287
          1.Military |   .5969084   .2485234     2.40   0.016     .1098115    1.084005
          1.Monarchy |  -.8359649   .4760045    -1.76   0.079    -1.768917    .0969867
             GDPpcLn |  -.3141977   .1889282    -1.66   0.096    -.6844902    .0560948
               PopLn |  -.1260037    .096271    -1.31   0.191    -.3146914     .062684
        OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0268848   .0514494    -0.52   0.601    -.1277237    .0739542
      SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.0480584   .0601703    -0.80   0.424      -.16599    .0698733
    1.PartyCommissar |  -.7773242   .5307502    -1.46   0.143    -1.817576    .2629271
1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.257845   .9835169    -2.30   0.022    -4.185503   -.3301874
          1.CivilWar |   1.025532   .2089128     4.91   0.000     .6160706    1.434994
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Table 1.3.2
. 
. *Model 7
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2#i.Communist c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.Pop
> Ln c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr strata(CowC
> ode)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -59.930125
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =  -50.79417
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.118895
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =   -50.0037
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.969501
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.957431
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.953045
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.951439
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950849
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950632
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950552
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950523
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950512
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950508
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950507
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -49.950506

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,164
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2257
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =       27.48
Log pseudolikelihood =   -49.950506             Prob > chi2      =      0.0039

                                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |               Robust
                              _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                              1  |  -.1150515    .066271    -1.74   0.083    -.2449403    .0148374
                                 |
            SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0253573   .0356192     0.71   0.477     -.044455    .0951695
              1.PartyNoCommunist |    .021555   .4288267     0.05   0.960    -.8189298    .8620398
                      1.Military |   1.034387   .4167797     2.48   0.013     .2175139     1.85126
                      1.Monarchy |  -.1624284   1.440479    -0.11   0.910    -2.985715    2.660859
                         GDPpcLn |   .9286458     1.0912     0.85   0.395    -1.210067    3.067359
                           PopLn |  -1.643495   .7510488    -2.19   0.029    -3.115523    -.171466
                    OilGasPop1Ln |  -.1467697   .3275029    -0.45   0.654    -.7886636    .4951241
                 SovMilGDPLn1lag |  -.0320814   .0279302    -1.15   0.251    -.0868236    .0226607
                1.PartyCommissar |   .6209699   1.058662     0.59   0.557     -1.45397     2.69591
            1.InterventionSoviet |  -39.60332          .        .       .            .           .
                      1.CivilWar |   1.807384   .7096416     2.55   0.011     .4165116    3.198255
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. 
. *Model 8
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2#i.Communist c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn
>  c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr strata(CowCode
> )

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -53.585311
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.936948
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.205394
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.096369
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.070156
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.061392
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.058211
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.057046
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056618
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood =  -44.05646
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056402
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056381
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056373
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood =  -44.05637
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -44.056369

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          147             Number of obs    =       2,096
No. of failures      =           95
Time at risk         =         2096
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =       30.75
Log pseudolikelihood =   -44.056369             Prob > chi2      =      0.0012

                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 146 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |               Robust
                             _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                             1  |  -.1948612   .0650117    -3.00   0.003    -.3222818   -.0674406
                                |
            SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0107169   .0378725     0.28   0.777    -.0635119    .0849457
             1.PartyNoCommunist |   .1444313   .4275945     0.34   0.736    -.6936384     .982501
                     1.Military |   .9129094   .4228536     2.16   0.031     .0841315    1.741687
                     1.Monarchy |   1.281007   1.060219     1.21   0.227    -.7969844    3.358998
                        GDPpcLn |   .8941149   1.104943     0.81   0.418    -1.271533    3.059763
                          PopLn |  -1.550976   .7945281    -1.95   0.051    -3.108222    .0062707
                   OilGasPop1Ln |  -.3516928   .3301816    -1.07   0.287    -.9988369    .2954513
                 SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.2250937   .1462116    -1.54   0.124    -.5116631    .0614757
               1.PartyCommissar |  -.0773205   .8746709    -0.09   0.930    -1.791644    1.637003
           1.InterventionSoviet |  -40.30253          .        .       .            .           .
                     1.CivilWar |   1.671734   .6461889     2.59   0.010     .4052274    2.938241
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. *Model 9
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2##i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.So
> vMilGDPLn1lag i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(CowCode) nohr 

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -414.23965
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -383.87108
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -376.0542
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.69819
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.67489
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.67466
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.67466
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.67466

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,164
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2257
                                                Wald chi2(13)    =      143.04
Log pseudolikelihood =   -375.67466             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                   (Std. Err. adjusted for 74 clusters in CowCode)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |               Robust
                              _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0491362   .0160404     3.06   0.002     .0176976    .0805749
                     1.Communist |  -3.861137   .9052777    -4.27   0.000    -5.635449   -2.086825
                                 |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                              1  |  -.1608613   .0494531    -3.25   0.001    -.2577876   -.0639351
                                 |
              1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.8970323   .2997577    -2.99   0.003    -1.484547    -.309518
                      1.Military |   .7161098   .2430587     2.95   0.003     .2397235    1.192496
                      1.Monarchy |  -1.082943   .4595219    -2.36   0.018    -1.983589   -.1822961
                         GDPpcLn |  -.1392103   .1824076    -0.76   0.445    -.4967227    .2183021
                           PopLn |  -.1646715   .1005236    -1.64   0.101    -.3616942    .0323512
                    OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0719905   .0488731    -1.47   0.141    -.1677801    .0237991
                 SovMilGDPLn1lag |   -.001512   .0142867    -0.11   0.916    -.0295134    .0264893
                1.PartyCommissar |  -.6265929   .5329966    -1.18   0.240    -1.671247    .4180613
            1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.176578   1.012415    -2.15   0.032    -4.160876   -.1922805
                      1.CivilWar |   1.020332   .2089121     4.88   0.000     .6108721    1.429792
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 10
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2##i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.Sov
> MilPCLn1lag i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(CowCode) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -388.05967
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -361.18406
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -355.24595
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.88397
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.85544
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.85503
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.85503
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.85503

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          147             Number of obs    =       2,096
No. of failures      =           95
Time at risk         =         2096
                                                Wald chi2(13)    =      148.62
Log pseudolikelihood =   -354.85503             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 74 clusters in CowCode)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |               Robust
                             _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0485245   .0162933     2.98   0.003     .0165903    .0804587
                    1.Communist |  -3.570245   .9852794    -3.62   0.000    -5.501357   -1.639133
                                |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                             1  |  -.1514612    .052407    -2.89   0.004    -.2541771   -.0487454
                                |
             1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.8317846   .2983185    -2.79   0.005    -1.416478   -.2470912
                     1.Military |   .6126187   .2482877     2.47   0.014     .1259837    1.099254
                     1.Monarchy |  -.8393797   .4853712    -1.73   0.084     -1.79069    .1119303
                        GDPpcLn |  -.2963881   .1894272    -1.56   0.118    -.6676585    .0748823
                          PopLn |   -.145348   .0989432    -1.47   0.142    -.3392731     .048577
                   OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0379852   .0508481    -0.75   0.455    -.1376457    .0616753
                 SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.0402647   .0598537    -0.67   0.501    -.1575758    .0770464
               1.PartyCommissar |  -.6941398   .5341792    -1.30   0.194    -1.741112    .3528321
           1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.065223   .9881851    -2.09   0.037    -4.002031   -.1284161
                     1.CivilWar |   1.012805   .2139252     4.73   0.000     .5935192    1.432091
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Table 1.4.1
. *Model 1
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(MilCoup==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  MilCoup == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
         47  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c. SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag i.PartyCo
> mmissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar if Communist==0, cluster(RegimeID) nohr strata(CowCode)

         failure _d:  MilCoup == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -32.596151
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -25.176176
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =   -24.4242
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.191313
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.154072
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.151235
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.150368
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood =  -24.15005
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149933
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood =  -24.14989
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149874
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149868
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149866
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149865
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149865
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149865
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -24.149864

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          143             Number of obs    =       1,951
No. of failures      =           44
Time at risk         =         2039
                                                Wald chi2(9)     =       17.55
Log pseudolikelihood =   -24.149864             Prob > chi2      =      0.0408

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 141 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .1904011   .0733593     2.60   0.009     .0466195    .3341827
             1.Party |   .7650917   .5657371     1.35   0.176    -.3437326    1.873916
          1.Military |   .6150957   .5567095     1.10   0.269     -.476035    1.706226
          1.Monarchy |    2.48283   1.403127     1.77   0.077    -.2672484    5.232908
             GDPpcLn |  -.6146409   1.272739    -0.48   0.629    -3.109163    1.879881
               PopLn |  -1.307663   1.482478    -0.88   0.378    -4.213266     1.59794
        OilGasPop1Ln |  -1.438975   .8383578    -1.72   0.086    -3.082126    .2041757
     SovMilGDPLn1lag |  -.0217003   .0383598    -0.57   0.572    -.0968842    .0534836
    1.PartyCommissar |  -35.57574          .        .       .            .           .
1.InterventionSoviet |  -.9737457          .        .       .            .           .
          1.CivilWar |   1.900199   1.581142     1.20   0.229    -1.198784    4.999181
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. *Model2
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(MilCoup==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  MilCoup == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
         47  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag i.PartyCommi
> ssar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar if Communist==0, cluster(RegimeID) nohr strata(CowCode)

         failure _d:  MilCoup == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -29.664958
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -20.602453
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -19.240972
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.729195
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.628596
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.614073
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.609762
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.608183
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.607603
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.607389
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.607311
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.607282
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.607271
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.607268
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.607266
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.607265
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.597083
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.323687
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.280773  (backed up)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -19.098667  (backed up)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.931751
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.690328
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.605314
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.462348
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.450637  (backed up)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.162641
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.790255  (backed up)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood =  -18.65874
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.534289
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.419903
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.669485  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.472486
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.398293
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.185418
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.896597  (backed up)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.411233
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood =  -18.66822  (backed up)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.594292
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.556612  (backed up)
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.500919  (backed up)
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood =   -18.8514  (backed up)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.688756
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.609893
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood =  -18.54172
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.434347  (backed up)
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.318923
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.470805  (backed up)
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.369656  (backed up)
Iteration 48:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.556627  (backed up)
Iteration 49:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.335365  (backed up)
Iteration 50:  log pseudolikelihood = -19.022254  (backed up)
Iteration 51:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.839665
Iteration 52:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.396921
Iteration 53:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.367031
Iteration 54:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.344736  (backed up)
Iteration 55:  log pseudolikelihood =  -18.10174
Iteration 56:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.599326  (backed up)
Iteration 57:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.583858
Iteration 58:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.508065
Iteration 59:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.489022  (backed up)
Iteration 60:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.582479  (backed up)
Iteration 61:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.575739  (backed up)
Iteration 62:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.562814  (backed up)
Iteration 63:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.446417  (backed up)
Iteration 64:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.579686  (backed up)
Iteration 65:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.564406
Iteration 66:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.530791
Iteration 67:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.525719
Iteration 68:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.586714  (backed up)
Iteration 69:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.248696
Iteration 70:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.521943  (backed up)
Iteration 71:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.408719
Iteration 72:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.293992
Iteration 73:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.049176  (backed up)
Iteration 74:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.023775  (backed up)
Iteration 75:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.656413  (backed up)
Iteration 76:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.623647
Iteration 77:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.485521  (backed up)
Iteration 78:  log pseudolikelihood =  -18.47805
Iteration 79:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.300522
Iteration 80:  log pseudolikelihood =  -18.20405
Iteration 81:  log pseudolikelihood =  -18.19911  (backed up)
Iteration 82:  log pseudolikelihood = -17.963678
Iteration 83:  log pseudolikelihood = -17.952385  (backed up)
Iteration 84:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.193515  (backed up)
Iteration 85:  log pseudolikelihood = -17.952519  (backed up)
Iteration 86:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.408378  (backed up)
Iteration 87:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.234851
Iteration 88:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.133677
Iteration 89:  log pseudolikelihood = -17.789958  (backed up)
Iteration 90:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.134671  (backed up)
Iteration 91:  log pseudolikelihood =  -18.09949
Iteration 92:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.098132  (backed up)
Iteration 93:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.730893  (backed up)
Iteration 94:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.434885  (backed up)
Iteration 95:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.431826  (backed up)
Iteration 96:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.425411  (backed up)
Iteration 97:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.157758  (backed up)
Iteration 98:  log pseudolikelihood = -18.627951  (backed up)
Iteration 99:  log pseudolikelihood =  -17.43389
Iteration 100: log pseudolikelihood = -17.433892  (backed up)
Iteration 101: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443654  (backed up)
Iteration 102: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443493  (backed up)
Iteration 103: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443498  (backed up)
Iteration 104: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443504  (backed up)
Iteration 105: log pseudolikelihood =  -16.44351  (backed up)
Iteration 106: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443516  (backed up)
Iteration 107: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443516  (backed up)
Iteration 108: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443522  (backed up)
Iteration 109: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443731  (backed up)
Iteration 110: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443736  (backed up)
Iteration 111: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443529  (backed up)
Iteration 112: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443738  (backed up)
Iteration 113: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443744  (backed up)
Iteration 114: log pseudolikelihood =  -16.44375  (backed up)
Iteration 115: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443723
Iteration 116: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443932  (backed up)
Iteration 117: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443938  (backed up)
Iteration 118: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443943  (backed up)
Iteration 119: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443948  (backed up)
Iteration 120: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443954  (backed up)
Iteration 121: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443959  (backed up)
Iteration 122: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443835
Iteration 123: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444044  (backed up)
Iteration 124: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444049  (backed up)
Iteration 125: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444054  (backed up)
Iteration 126: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444059  (backed up)
Iteration 127: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444064  (backed up)
Iteration 128: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443896  (backed up)
Iteration 129: log pseudolikelihood = -16.443901  (backed up)
Iteration 130: log pseudolikelihood =  -16.44411  (backed up)
Iteration 131: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444061
Iteration 132: log pseudolikelihood =  -16.44427  (backed up)
Iteration 133: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444212
Iteration 134: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444421  (backed up)
Iteration 135: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444247  (backed up)
Iteration 136: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444247  (backed up)
Iteration 137: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444252  (backed up)
Iteration 138: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444256  (backed up)
Iteration 139: log pseudolikelihood =  -16.44426  (backed up)
Iteration 140: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444469  (backed up)
Iteration 141: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444473  (backed up)
Iteration 142: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444478  (backed up)
Iteration 143: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444482  (backed up)
Iteration 144: log pseudolikelihood =  -16.44441
Iteration 145: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444619  (backed up)
Iteration 146: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444538
Iteration 147: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444747  (backed up)
Iteration 148: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444755  (backed up)
Iteration 149: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444606
Iteration 150: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444815  (backed up)
Iteration 151: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444635  (backed up)
Iteration 152: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444844  (backed up)
Iteration 153: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444851  (backed up)
Iteration 154: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444858  (backed up)
Iteration 155: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444865  (backed up)
Iteration 156: log pseudolikelihood = -16.444713
Iteration 157: log pseudolikelihood =  -16.44472  (backed up)
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.829588
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.612694
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.607278
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.607265
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.607265
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.607265
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.607265
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -18.607265

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          139             Number of obs    =       1,886
No. of failures      =           41
Time at risk         =         1886
                                                Wald chi2(9)     =     1050.20
Log pseudolikelihood =   -18.607265             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 138 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
 SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .2035248   .0734074     2.77   0.006     .0596489    .3474006
             1.Party |   3.236151   1.036518     3.12   0.002     1.204612     5.26769
          1.Military |   .2072993   .6070284     0.34   0.733    -.9824545    1.397053
          1.Monarchy |   40.89017          .        .       .            .           .
             GDPpcLn |  -1.914965   1.983423    -0.97   0.334    -5.802402    1.972473
               PopLn |   1.148915   1.590005     0.72   0.470    -1.967437    4.265267
        OilGasPop1Ln |  -2.125745   1.287935    -1.65   0.099     -4.65005    .3985611
      SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.5037035   .1842265    -2.73   0.006    -.8647809   -.1426261
    1.PartyCommissar |  -34.84428     1.6644   -20.94   0.000    -38.10644   -31.58211
1.InterventionSoviet |    -.96528          .        .       .            .           .
          1.CivilWar |   .7189489   .9771215     0.74   0.462    -1.196174    2.634072
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. *Model 3
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(MilCoup==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  MilCoup == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
         47  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c. SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag i.PartyCo
> mmissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar if Communist==0, cluster(CowCode) nohr 

         failure _d:  MilCoup == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -183.94466
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -171.41472
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -170.77311
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -170.76581
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -170.7658
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -170.7658

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          143             Number of obs    =       1,951
No. of failures      =           44
Time at risk         =         2039
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =       47.90
Log pseudolikelihood =    -170.7658             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                       (Std. Err. adjusted for 70 clusters in CowCode)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0736181   .0231376     3.18   0.001     .0282692     .118967
             1.Party |  -.2144775   .3738301    -0.57   0.566     -.947171    .5182161
          1.Military |  -.1132556   .5736867    -0.20   0.844    -1.237661     1.01115
          1.Monarchy |  -.1161207    .586336    -0.20   0.843    -1.265318    1.033077
             GDPpcLn |  -.4785398   .2376669    -2.01   0.044    -.9443583   -.0127212
               PopLn |  -.2611539   .1583505    -1.65   0.099    -.5715151    .0492074
        OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0694111   .0790463    -0.88   0.380     -.224339    .0855169
     SovMilGDPLn1lag |   .0204208   .0256943     0.79   0.427     -.029939    .0707807
    1.PartyCommissar |  -1.614947   .8441454    -1.91   0.056    -3.269442    .0395474
1.InterventionSoviet |  -1.614222   .8576381    -1.88   0.060    -3.295161    .0667182
          1.CivilWar |   .7530461   .3484151     2.16   0.031     .0701651    1.435927
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 4
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(MilCoup==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  MilCoup == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
         47  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag i.PartyCommi
> ssar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar if Communist==0, cluster(CowCode) nohr 

         failure _d:  MilCoup == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -167.40423
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -156.53476
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -155.95951
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -155.95332
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -155.95331
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -155.95331

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          139             Number of obs    =       1,886
No. of failures      =           41
Time at risk         =         1886
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =       33.55
Log pseudolikelihood =   -155.95331             Prob > chi2      =      0.0004

                                       (Std. Err. adjusted for 70 clusters in CowCode)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
 SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0742992   .0247747     3.00   0.003     .0257416    .1228567
             1.Party |  -.1292748   .3835712    -0.34   0.736    -.8810606    .6225109
          1.Military |  -.5135302   .6993389    -0.73   0.463    -1.884209    .8571488
          1.Monarchy |   .1583268   .6092198     0.26   0.795    -1.035722    1.352376
             GDPpcLn |  -.7442721   .2768077    -2.69   0.007    -1.286805    -.201739
               PopLn |  -.2128376   .1496605    -1.42   0.155    -.5061669    .0804917
        OilGasPop1Ln |   .0021671   .0869546     0.02   0.980    -.1682607    .1725949
      SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.0082909   .0945865    -0.09   0.930    -.1936771    .1770953
    1.PartyCommissar |  -1.646207   .9126511    -1.80   0.071     -3.43497    .1425566
1.InterventionSoviet |  -1.468196   .8631822    -1.70   0.089    -3.160002    .2236104
          1.CivilWar |   .7161343   .3333355     2.15   0.032     .0628087     1.36946
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. *Table 1.5.1
. 
. *Model 1
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2##i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln i.Pa
> rtyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -414.34336
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -383.83593
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -376.08672
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.72512
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.70123
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.70099
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.70099
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.70099

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,166
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2259
                                                Wald chi2(12)    =      112.11
Log pseudolikelihood =   -375.70099             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |               Robust
                              _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0484841   .0158365     3.06   0.002      .017445    .0795231
                     1.Communist |  -3.872546   .9758568    -3.97   0.000     -5.78519   -1.959902
                                 |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                              1  |  -.1612161     .05037    -3.20   0.001    -.2599396   -.0624927
                                 |
              1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.8971175   .3033653    -2.96   0.003    -1.491703   -.3025324
                      1.Military |   .7194036   .2419775     2.97   0.003     .2451365    1.193671
                      1.Monarchy |  -1.082339   .4407722    -2.46   0.014    -1.946237   -.2184413
                         GDPpcLn |  -.1389114   .1760328    -0.79   0.430    -.4839294    .2061066
                           PopLn |   -.163403    .090809    -1.80   0.072    -.3413854    .0145794
                    OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0730289   .0499343    -1.46   0.144    -.1708983    .0248406
                1.PartyCommissar |  -.6286939   .5377633    -1.17   0.242    -1.682691    .4253028
            1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.189593   1.142473    -1.92   0.055    -4.428798    .0496116
                      1.CivilWar |   1.017349   .2279916     4.46   0.000     .5704934    1.464204
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 2
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2##i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln i.Par
> tyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -414.34336
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -383.84076
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -376.06331
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.68588
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -375.6589
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.65857
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.65857
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.65857

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,166
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2259
                                                Wald chi2(12)    =      113.03
Log pseudolikelihood =   -375.65857             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |               Robust
                             _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |    .048503   .0158231     3.07   0.002     .0174903    .0795157
                    1.Communist |   -3.95555   .9732092    -4.06   0.000    -5.863005   -2.048095
                                |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                             1  |  -.1649246   .0503292    -3.28   0.001     -.263568   -.0662812
                                |
             1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.8988348   .3035051    -2.96   0.003    -1.493694   -.3039758
                     1.Military |   .7195181    .241972     2.97   0.003     .2452618    1.193774
                     1.Monarchy |  -1.088844    .441762    -2.46   0.014    -1.954682   -.2230065
                        GDPpcLn |  -.1860715   .1710246    -1.09   0.277    -.5212736    .1491305
                          PopLn |   -.163869   .0908126    -1.80   0.071    -.3418583    .0141203
                   OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0730584   .0499136    -1.46   0.143    -.1708873    .0247705
               1.PartyCommissar |  -.6251064   .5362564    -1.17   0.244     -1.67615    .4259368
           1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.181784   1.142974    -1.91   0.056    -4.421971    .0584041
                     1.CivilWar |   1.016458   .2281064     4.46   0.000     .5693776    1.463538
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 3
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2#i.Communist c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.Pop
> Ln c.OilGasPop1Ln i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr strata(CowCode)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -59.930125
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -51.181995
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -50.56651
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.449763
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.414757
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.402426
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood =  -50.39795
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.396311
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395709
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395488
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395407
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395377
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395366
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395362
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood =  -50.39536
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.395359

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,166
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2259
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =      889.38
Log pseudolikelihood =   -50.395359             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |               Robust
                              _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                              1  |  -.1118241   .0622094    -1.80   0.072    -.2337524    .0101041
                                 |
            SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0071424   .0328694     0.22   0.828    -.0572805    .0715653
              1.PartyNoCommunist |   .0094474   .4071818     0.02   0.981    -.7886142     .807509
                      1.Military |    1.00969   .4218291     2.39   0.017     .1829198    1.836459
                      1.Monarchy |   .1772189   1.246414     0.14   0.887    -2.265708    2.620146
                         GDPpcLn |   1.194079   1.037395     1.15   0.250    -.8391783    3.227336
                           PopLn |  -1.530509   .7707793    -1.99   0.047    -3.041209   -.0198097
                    OilGasPop1Ln |     -.2163    .310473    -0.70   0.486    -.8248159    .3922159
                1.PartyCommissar |   .5207468   1.020244     0.51   0.610    -1.478894    2.520388
            1.InterventionSoviet |  -39.21136   8.668073    -4.52   0.000    -56.20047   -22.22225
                      1.CivilWar |   1.932896   .6799038     2.84   0.004     .6003093    3.265483
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. *Model 4 
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2#i.Communist c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn
>  c.OilGasPop1Ln i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr strata(CowCode)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -59.930125
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -51.185019
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.565792
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -50.44767
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.412491
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -50.40012
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood =  -50.39563
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393987
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393383
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393161
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood =  -50.39308
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood =  -50.39305
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393039
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393035
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393033
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -50.393032

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,166
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2259
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =     4453.18
Log pseudolikelihood =   -50.393032             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |               Robust
                             _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                             1  |  -.1115302    .061741    -1.81   0.071    -.2325403    .0094798
                                |
            SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0071999   .0328702     0.22   0.827    -.0572244    .0716243
             1.PartyNoCommunist |   .0100638   .4073391     0.02   0.980    -.7883062    .8084338
                     1.Military |   1.009808   .4217922     2.39   0.017     .1831105    1.836506
                     1.Monarchy |   .1776627   1.246712     0.14   0.887    -2.265847    2.621172
                        GDPpcLn |   1.186605   1.051184     1.13   0.259    -.8736772    3.246888
                          PopLn |  -1.529645   .7707963    -1.98   0.047    -3.040378   -.0189119
                   OilGasPop1Ln |   -.216146   .3104957    -0.70   0.486    -.8247064    .3924145
               1.PartyCommissar |   .5163986   1.021222     0.51   0.613    -1.485161    2.517958
           1.InterventionSoviet |  -38.66607   4.011404    -9.64   0.000    -46.52828   -30.80386
                     1.CivilWar |   1.933288   .6799811     2.84   0.004     .6005492    3.266026
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. *Table 1.6.1
. *Model 1 
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. 
. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2##i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.So
> vMilGDPLn1lag c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2##i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

note: SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 omitted because of collinearity
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -414.23965
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -384.05686
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.97157
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.59817
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.57288
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.57259
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.57259
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.57259

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,164
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2257
                                                Wald chi2(14)    =      111.22
Log pseudolikelihood =   -375.57259             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                      (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      |               Robust
                                   _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                 SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0475515   .0176555     2.69   0.007     .0129473    .0821557
                          1.Communist |   -4.22926   1.179565    -3.59   0.000    -6.541165   -1.917354
                                      |
     Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                                   1  |  -.1876493   .0695618    -2.70   0.007    -.3239879   -.0513107
                                      |
                   1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.8973101   .3038126    -2.95   0.003    -1.492772   -.3018484
                           1.Military |   .7106589   .2470221     2.88   0.004     .2265046    1.194813
                           1.Monarchy |  -1.081489    .439484    -2.46   0.014    -1.942862   -.2201162
                              GDPpcLn |  -.1329995   .1775732    -0.75   0.454    -.4810367    .2150377
                                PopLn |  -.1582536   .0918821    -1.72   0.085    -.3383392    .0218319
                         OilGasPop1Ln |   -.074038   .0504224    -1.47   0.142    -.1728642    .0247881
                      SovMilGDPLn1lag |    -.00161   .0153036    -0.11   0.916    -.0316044    .0283845
                 SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |          0  (omitted)
                     1.PartyCommissar |  -.2080042   .8706397    -0.24   0.811    -1.914427    1.498418
                                      |
PartyCommissar#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                                   1  |   .0331956   .0650396     0.51   0.610    -.0942797    .1606709
                                      |
                 1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.158254   1.150698    -1.88   0.061    -4.413581    .0970733
                           1.CivilWar |   1.018081   .2295755     4.43   0.000     .5681217    1.468041
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 2 
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2##i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.Sov
> MilPCLn1lag c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2##i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

note: SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 omitted because of collinearity
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -388.05967
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -361.32695
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -355.13466
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.75231
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.72124
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.72075
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.72075
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -354.72075

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          147             Number of obs    =       2,096
No. of failures      =           95
Time at risk         =         2096
                                                Wald chi2(14)    =      105.49
Log pseudolikelihood =   -354.72075             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 146 clusters in RegimeID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                     |               Robust
                                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                 SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0466693   .0180127     2.59   0.010     .0113651    .0819736
                         1.Communist |  -3.992063    1.29267    -3.09   0.002     -6.52565   -1.458476
                                     |
     Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                                  1  |    -.18165   .0745374    -2.44   0.015    -.3277405   -.0355595
                                     |
                  1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.8325282   .3062571    -2.72   0.007    -1.432781   -.2322752
                          1.Military |   .6071042   .2549513     2.38   0.017     .1074089      1.1068
                          1.Monarchy |  -.8362046    .476757    -1.75   0.079    -1.770631     .098222
                             GDPpcLn |   -.288269   .1730391    -1.67   0.096    -.6274195    .0508814
                               PopLn |  -.1380356   .0911368    -1.51   0.130    -.3166605    .0405892
                        OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0403838   .0516477    -0.78   0.434    -.1416115    .0608439
                      SovMilPCLn1lag |    -.04076    .064978    -0.63   0.530    -.1681145    .0865946
                 SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |          0  (omitted)
                    1.PartyCommissar |  -.2083794   .9527912    -0.22   0.827    -2.075816    1.659057
                                     |
PartyCommissar#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                                  1  |    .038212   .0707479     0.54   0.589    -.1004514    .1768754
                                     |
                1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.041655   1.165486    -1.75   0.080    -4.325966    .2426556
                          1.CivilWar |   1.008024   .2244216     4.49   0.000     .5681662    1.447883
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 3
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag c.SovietAi
> d1lag1GDPLn2##i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -414.23965
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -384.87171
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.33823
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.10533
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.09712
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.09709
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.09709

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,164
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2257
                                                Wald chi2(13)    =       99.73
Log pseudolikelihood =   -377.09709             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                      (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      |               Robust
                                   _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                          1.Communist |  -1.114299   .8828746    -1.26   0.207    -2.844702    .6161029
                   1.PartyNoCommunist |   -.890907   .3010901    -2.96   0.003    -1.481033   -.3007813
                           1.Military |   .7105849   .2469959     2.88   0.004     .2264818    1.194688
                           1.Monarchy |  -1.104108    .435644    -2.53   0.011    -1.957954   -.2502609
                              GDPpcLn |  -.1626093   .1761369    -0.92   0.356    -.5078313    .1826127
                                PopLn |  -.1576592   .0920552    -1.71   0.087     -.338084    .0227657
                         OilGasPop1Ln |   -.061542   .0505548    -1.22   0.223    -.1606275    .0375435
                      SovMilGDPLn1lag |  -.0031297   .0152873    -0.20   0.838    -.0330923     .026833
                 SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0468923   .0177761     2.64   0.008     .0120517    .0817328
                     1.PartyCommissar |  -1.155803   1.048346    -1.10   0.270    -3.210524    .8989184
                                      |
PartyCommissar#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                                   1  |  -.0378808   .0560896    -0.68   0.499    -.1478144    .0720528
                                      |
                 1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.344463   1.145356    -2.05   0.041    -4.589319   -.0996069
                           1.CivilWar |    1.03184   .2279494     4.53   0.000     .5850669    1.478612
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 4
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag c.SovietAid
> 1lag1pcLn2##i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -388.05967
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -361.98112
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -356.3546
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.14401
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.13612
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -356.1361
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -356.1361

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          147             Number of obs    =       2,096
No. of failures      =           95
Time at risk         =         2096
                                                Wald chi2(13)    =       94.21
Log pseudolikelihood =    -356.1361             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 146 clusters in RegimeID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                     |               Robust
                                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                         1.Communist |  -.9134721   .8914203    -1.02   0.305    -2.660624    .8336796
                  1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.8170951   .3043491    -2.68   0.007    -1.413608   -.2205818
                          1.Military |   .6021746   .2547511     2.36   0.018     .1028717    1.101478
                          1.Monarchy |   -.846122   .4741685    -1.78   0.074    -1.775475    .0832311
                             GDPpcLn |  -.3149502   .1716884    -1.83   0.067    -.6514534    .0215529
                               PopLn |  -.1328986   .0915886    -1.45   0.147     -.312409    .0466117
                        OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0278438   .0515057    -0.54   0.589    -.1287931    .0731055
                      SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.0463582   .0650169    -0.71   0.476    -.1737889    .0810726
                 SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |    .045712   .0181584     2.52   0.012     .0101223    .0813018
                    1.PartyCommissar |  -1.149139   1.095545    -1.05   0.294    -3.296367    .9980895
                                     |
PartyCommissar#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                                  1  |  -.0311856   .0600289    -0.52   0.603    -.1488402    .0864689
                                     |
                1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.230883   1.161667    -1.92   0.055    -4.507709    .0459435
                          1.CivilWar |   1.023328   .2222818     4.60   0.000     .5876637    1.458992
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 5
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2##i.PartyCo
> mmissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -414.23965
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -384.36724
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.41939
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.14242
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.13007
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.13001
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -377.13001

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          151             Number of obs    =       2,164
No. of failures      =           99
Time at risk         =         2257
                                                Wald chi2(12)    =      100.10
Log pseudolikelihood =   -377.13001             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                      (Std. Err. adjusted for 149 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      |               Robust
                                   _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                              1.Party |  -.8966276   .3003968    -2.98   0.003    -1.485395   -.3078606
                           1.Military |   .7123574   .2466141     2.89   0.004     .2290027    1.195712
                           1.Monarchy |  -1.100469   .4306859    -2.56   0.011    -1.944598   -.2563403
                              GDPpcLn |  -.1638132   .1755622    -0.93   0.351    -.5079089    .1802824
                                PopLn |  -.1616774   .0885449    -1.83   0.068    -.3352223    .0118675
                         OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0597724   .0503689    -1.19   0.235    -.1584937    .0389489
                      SovMilGDPLn1lag |  -.0035066   .0154103    -0.23   0.820    -.0337103     .026697
                 SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0470143   .0178085     2.64   0.008     .0121103    .0819183
                     1.PartyCommissar |  -1.251936   .9141778    -1.37   0.171    -3.043691    .5398198
                                      |
PartyCommissar#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                                   1  |  -.0395097   .0537609    -0.73   0.462    -.1448791    .0658597
                                      |
                 1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.380885   1.118246    -2.13   0.033    -4.572608   -.1891628
                           1.CivilWar |   1.041571   .2273073     4.58   0.000     .5960573    1.487086
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 6
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2##i.PartyComm
> issar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar, cluster(RegimeID) nohr

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -388.05967
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -361.60549
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.40265
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.15358
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.14207
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.14202
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -356.14202

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          147             Number of obs    =       2,096
No. of failures      =           95
Time at risk         =         2096
                                                Wald chi2(12)    =       94.55
Log pseudolikelihood =   -356.14202             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 146 clusters in RegimeID)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                     |               Robust
                                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                             1.Party |  -.8188693    .304304    -2.69   0.007    -1.415294   -.2224444
                          1.Military |   .6028246   .2544252     2.37   0.018     .1041603    1.101489
                          1.Monarchy |  -.8433139   .4693221    -1.80   0.072    -1.763168    .0765405
                             GDPpcLn |  -.3159197   .1707305    -1.85   0.064    -.6505454     .018706
                               PopLn |  -.1342901   .0891965    -1.51   0.132     -.309112    .0405319
                        OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0270315   .0513123    -0.53   0.598    -.1276019    .0735388
                      SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.0468014   .0651554    -0.72   0.473    -.1745037    .0809009
                 SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0457397   .0181649     2.52   0.012     .0101372    .0813422
                    1.PartyCommissar |  -1.189144   .9487966    -1.25   0.210    -3.048751    .6704635
                                     |
PartyCommissar#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                                  1  |  -.0317207    .058114    -0.55   0.585    -.1456221    .0821806
                                     |
                1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.246359   1.138167    -1.97   0.048    -4.477124   -.0155931
                          1.CivilWar |   1.026813   .2227271     4.61   0.000      .590276     1.46335
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. *Table 1.7.1
. *Model 1
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag if Year<19
> 89, cluster(RegimeID) nohr 

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -320.97646
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -302.69034
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -301.91034
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -301.90922
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -301.90922

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          143             Number of obs    =       1,849
No. of failures      =           77
Time at risk         =         1942
                                                Wald chi2(8)     =       43.60
Log pseudolikelihood =   -301.90922             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                     (Std. Err. adjusted for 141 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     |               Robust
                  _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0472604   .0167051     2.83   0.005      .014519    .0800018
             1.Party |  -1.214911   .3296379    -3.69   0.000    -1.860989   -.5688321
          1.Military |   .5755638   .3057419     1.88   0.060    -.0236792    1.174807
          1.Monarchy |  -.8704932   .4618558    -1.88   0.059    -1.775714    .0347275
             GDPpcLn |  -.1021768   .1998623    -0.51   0.609    -.4938998    .2895462
               PopLn |  -.1288662   .0971945    -1.33   0.185    -.3193639    .0616315
        OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0649667   .0593619    -1.09   0.274    -.1813139    .0513805
     SovMilGDPLn1lag |  -.0227829   .0174891    -1.30   0.193     -.057061    .0114951
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 2
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 i.Party i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag if Year<1989
> , cluster(RegimeID) nohr 

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -300.3644
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -284.67612
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -284.18911
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -284.18874
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -284.18874

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          140             Number of obs    =       1,783
No. of failures      =           74
Time at risk         =         1783
                                                Wald chi2(8)     =       35.84
Log pseudolikelihood =   -284.18874             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                    (Std. Err. adjusted for 139 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    |               Robust
                 _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0478058   .0173392     2.76   0.006     .0138217    .0817899
            1.Party |  -1.119449   .3292126    -3.40   0.001    -1.764694   -.4742046
         1.Military |   .4214465   .3089376     1.36   0.173    -.1840602    1.026953
         1.Monarchy |  -.6632676   .5297907    -1.25   0.211    -1.701638     .375103
            GDPpcLn |   -.189256   .1978348    -0.96   0.339    -.5770051    .1984931
              PopLn |  -.0684679   .0986589    -0.69   0.488    -.2618359    .1249001
       OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0288428   .0594115    -0.49   0.627    -.1452872    .0876017
     SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.1615695   .0758104    -2.13   0.033    -.3101551   -.0129839
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 3
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2##i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.So
> vMilGDPLn1lag i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar if Year<1989, cluster(RegimeID) nohr 

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -320.97646
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -297.29101
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -290.98089
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -290.71198
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -290.68982
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -290.68923
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -290.68923
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -290.68923

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          143             Number of obs    =       1,849
No. of failures      =           77
Time at risk         =         1942
                                                Wald chi2(13)    =       89.98
Log pseudolikelihood =   -290.68923             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 141 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |               Robust
                              _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0609313   .0165135     3.69   0.000     .0285654    .0932972
                     1.Communist |  -4.291814    1.18654    -3.62   0.000     -6.61739   -1.966237
                                 |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                              1  |  -.1860818   .0507379    -3.67   0.000    -.2855262   -.0866373
                                 |
              1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.9104768   .3499133    -2.60   0.009    -1.596294   -.2246594
                      1.Military |   .6158984   .2962668     2.08   0.038     .0352262    1.196571
                      1.Monarchy |  -1.037863   .5170192    -2.01   0.045    -2.051202   -.0245242
                         GDPpcLn |  -.0534675   .2007718    -0.27   0.790    -.4469729    .3400379
                           PopLn |  -.1570764   .1077286    -1.46   0.145    -.3682205    .0540677
                    OilGasPop1Ln |  -.1041965   .0600013    -1.74   0.082    -.2217969    .0134039
                 SovMilGDPLn1lag |  -.0062928   .0167903    -0.37   0.708    -.0392011    .0266156
                1.PartyCommissar |  -.6372409   .5760906    -1.11   0.269    -1.766358     .491876
            1.InterventionSoviet |  -2.129365   1.182413    -1.80   0.072    -4.446852     .188122
                      1.CivilWar |   1.073855   .2637459     4.07   0.000     .5569226    1.590788
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 4
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2##i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn c.OilGasPop1Ln c.Sov
> MilPCLn1lag i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar if Year<1989, cluster(RegimeID) nohr 

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -300.3644
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -279.98074
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -275.85203
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -275.58515
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -275.55783
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -275.55694
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -275.55694
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -275.55694

Cox regression -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          140             Number of obs    =       1,783
No. of failures      =           74
Time at risk         =         1783
                                                Wald chi2(13)    =       80.61
Log pseudolikelihood =   -275.55694             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 139 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |               Robust
                             _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0590651   .0169908     3.48   0.001     .0257637    .0923665
                    1.Communist |   -3.78727   1.285516    -2.95   0.003    -6.306834   -1.267706
                                |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                             1  |   -.158846   .0552854    -2.87   0.004    -.2672034   -.0504887
                                |
             1.PartyNoCommunist |  -.8584293   .3571335    -2.40   0.016    -1.558398   -.1584605
                     1.Military |   .4712804   .2992441     1.57   0.115    -.1152273    1.057788
                     1.Monarchy |  -.8039706   .5623839    -1.43   0.153    -1.906223    .2982817
                        GDPpcLn |  -.1643312   .1994293    -0.82   0.410    -.5552055    .2265431
                          PopLn |  -.1066606   .1069801    -1.00   0.319    -.3163378    .1030166
                   OilGasPop1Ln |  -.0632699   .0604892    -1.05   0.296    -.1818265    .0552867
                 SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.0882384   .0761074    -1.16   0.246    -.2374062    .0609294
               1.PartyCommissar |  -.6313951   .5752128    -1.10   0.272    -1.758792    .4960013
           1.InterventionSoviet |  -1.905126   1.183509    -1.61   0.107    -4.224762      .41451
                     1.CivilWar |   1.047728   .2557628     4.10   0.000     .5464421    1.549014
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. *Model 5
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2#i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.Pop
> Ln c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilGDPLn1lag i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar if Year<1989, cluster(RegimeID) noh
> r strata(CowCode)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -51.559114
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.815556
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.269661
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.168224
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.135922
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.124421
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.120233
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.118697
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.118133
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117926
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood =  -43.11785
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117822
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117811
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117807
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117806
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -43.117805

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          143             Number of obs    =       1,849
No. of failures      =           77
Time at risk         =         1942
                                                Wald chi2(12)    =      452.95
Log pseudolikelihood =   -43.117805             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 141 clusters in RegimeID)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 |               Robust
                              _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |   .0376006   .0364079     1.03   0.302    -.0337577    .1089588
                                 |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1GDPLn2 |
                              1  |  -.1237408   .0706265    -1.75   0.080    -.2621663    .0146847
                                 |
              1.PartyNoCommunist |   .0995532   .4691257     0.21   0.832    -.8199163    1.019023
                      1.Military |   .9538735   .4398179     2.17   0.030     .0918462    1.815901
                      1.Monarchy |  -.6912811   1.257605    -0.55   0.583    -3.156142     1.77358
                         GDPpcLn |   .8341808   1.184251     0.70   0.481    -1.486909     3.15527
                           PopLn |  -1.655401   .9290495    -1.78   0.075    -3.476304    .1655025
                    OilGasPop1Ln |  -.1726155   .3572096    -0.48   0.629    -.8727335    .5275024
                 SovMilGDPLn1lag |  -.0397892    .027946    -1.42   0.155    -.0945624     .014984
                1.PartyCommissar |   .1320259   1.059836     0.12   0.901    -1.945214    2.209266
            1.InterventionSoviet |  -37.15983   4.469936    -8.31   0.000    -45.92074   -28.39892
                      1.CivilWar |   1.454863   .6763411     2.15   0.031     .1292591    2.780468
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

. 
. *Model 6
. stset Duration, id(CaseName) failure(Fail==1) scale(1)

                id:  CaseName
     failure event:  Fail == 1
obs. time interval:  (Duration[_n-1], Duration]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      2,289  observations remaining, representing
        157  subjects
        105  failures in single-failure-per-subject data
      2,845  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =       252

. stcox c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2#i.Communist i.PartyNoCommunist i.Military i.Monarchy c.GDPpcLn c.PopLn
>  c.OilGasPop1Ln c.SovMilPCLn1lag i.PartyCommissar i.InterventionSoviet i.CivilWar if Year<1989, cluster(RegimeID) nohr s
> trata(CowCode)

         failure _d:  Fail == 1
   analysis time _t:  Duration
                 id:  CaseName

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -46.430696
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.925317
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.266733
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.107313
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -38.05352
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.036615
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.032208
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.031081
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030698
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030558
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030506
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030487
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood =  -38.03048
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030478
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030477
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Refining estimates:
Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -38.030476

Stratified Cox regr. -- Breslow method for ties

No. of subjects      =          140             Number of obs    =       1,783
No. of failures      =           74
Time at risk         =         1783
                                                Wald chi2(11)    =      109.26
Log pseudolikelihood =   -38.030476             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000

                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 139 clusters in RegimeID)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |               Robust
                             _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |   .0252997   .0374693     0.68   0.500    -.0481388    .0987383
                                |
Communist#c.SovietAid1lag1pcLn2 |
                             1  |  -.6362919   .0810379    -7.85   0.000    -.7951233   -.4774605
                                |
             1.PartyNoCommunist |   .2533193   .4872402     0.52   0.603    -.7016539    1.208292
                     1.Military |   .7350504   .4355423     1.69   0.091    -.1185968    1.588698
                     1.Monarchy |   .5104829   .9813708     0.52   0.603    -1.412969    2.433934
                        GDPpcLn |   .5986308   1.172498     0.51   0.610    -1.699423    2.896685
                          PopLn |  -1.597518   1.001492    -1.60   0.111    -3.560406     .365371
                   OilGasPop1Ln |  -.2135124   .3196647    -0.67   0.504    -.8400436    .4130188
                 SovMilPCLn1lag |  -.2106258   .1381416    -1.52   0.127    -.4813784    .0601268
               1.PartyCommissar |  -7.856455    1.55247    -5.06   0.000    -10.89924    -4.81367
           1.InterventionSoviet |   -43.2923          .        .       .            .           .
                     1.CivilWar |   1.184272   .6265537     1.89   0.059    -.0437512    2.412294
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Stratified by CowCode

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end of do-file

. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/cheurlin/OneDrive - Bowdoin College/Asian Communism's Collapse/Soviet Aid and Regime Durability/Heurli
> n - Authoritarian Aid and Regime Durability.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:  22 Jul 2020, 12:53:02
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